Seyed Mohammad Marandi on NPR / WBUR “On Point”

Our colleague, Seyed Mohammad Marandi, Dean of the Faculty of World Studies at the University of Tehran provided a rich in-depth interview to the WBUR “On Point” program, which is syndicated on many NPR stations. In the same program, the New York Times correspondent in Tehran, Thomas Erdibrink, and the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Haleh Esfandiari, are also interviewed. The program can be heard by clicking the audio link above or by going to


78 Responses to “Seyed Mohammad Marandi on NPR / WBUR “On Point””

  1. Kathleen says:

    Finally the U.S. MSM interviewing Iranian experts. Still pushing MSNBC host (besides Melissa Harris Perry who has had Hillary on I think 6 times since last summer) to have Hillary on. So tired of either hearing the approved regulars (David Corn, Howard Fineman) talk about the Iranian deal with far less knowledge than Hillary or Flynt. Why are these host so thick headed about having the Leveretts on their programs. Know the Cycle finally had Hillary on. Do they want the American public educated by the experts or the neocons that they give way too many opportunities to repeat unsubstantiated claims.

  2. Rehmat says:

    I’ve always wondered why Iranians bother to explain their point of views using pro-Israel western media? NPR is a 101% Zionist mouthpiece.

    Israeli envoy at United Nations has condemned Iran for allowing its newspaper to hold a second International Holocaust Cartoon contest next month. In a letter to UN secretary-general Ban Ki-moon, a US stooge, Ron Prosor said: “If the UN wishes to remain loyal to its founding principles and values in which it believes, it is incumbent upon it to speak loudly against anti-Semitism. This contest legitimizes (Six Million Died) Holocaust denial (sic) and encourages Holocaust deniers to continue their incitement.”

    Washington-based Holocaust Museum, built and operated by US taxpaers’ money, has also condemned the contest. “This comes from a country whose influential leaders use genocidal language against Israel and employ inflammatory speech to incite violence,” the statement said.

    The Jewish Lobby has a very crooked definition of anti-Semitism. It’s not that they’re concerned with the plight of Jewish people, as most of Zionist leaders are known for insulting fellow Jews. They apply this ‘smoking gun’ against everyone who dares to criticize Zionism, Israel’s policies or the Zionists false interpretation ethnic-cleansing of Gypsies, Christians and Jews under Nazi rule in Europe.

    Furthermore, there are far more Semite people among Arab Muslims and Christians, while Ashkenazi Jews both in the West and Israel are not Semite people.

  3. Pragmatic says:

    Iran Deal Is Inevitable
    By Pankaj Mishra

    The preliminary nuclear agreement with Iran, which has been long in the making, may succeed or fail. But only a cataclysmic war will prevent Iran from fulfilling its long-postponed destiny as a major economic, political and scientific nation.

    Iran’s Nuclear Program

    Speaking at the United Nations in 1951, Iran’s first elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mossadegh asked why Iran had lagged behind in a neighborhood where “hundreds of million of Asian people, after centuries of colonial exploitation, have now gained their independence and freedom.” Why did Westerners, who had acknowledged even Indonesian claims to sovereignty, Mossadegh asked, continue to ignore Iran?

    Within a few months of his UN speech, Mossadegh, who was fighting to renegotiate Iran’s grossly unfair deal with a British-owned oil company, was overthrown in a joint Anglo-American coup.

    The 20th century was defined by decolonization, the overthrow of European empires, and the steady empowerment of non-Western peoples. But Soviet and American neo-imperialist interventions curtailed the sovereignty of many weak nation-states in Asia and Africa, condemning them to prolonged internal conflicts and external wars.

    For decades, Iran has been trapped in a cycle that became depressingly familiar during the Cold War: brutal rule by an unpopular, foreign-backed strongman, who is then overthrown in a popular uprising by an ideological movement that turns out to be more repressive for many of the country’s citizens.

    Their encounter with the West had turned traumatic for ordinary Iranians long before Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi unleashed his CIA-trained torturers and spies on them. One previous Shah presided over a business deal with Baron Reuter (founder of Reuters news agency) that even the arch-imperialist Lord Curzon described as “the most complete surrender of the entire resources of a kingdom into foreign hands that has ever been dreamed of much less accomplished in history.”

    The country was invaded and occupied by European powers during both world wars. It should not surprise anyone that leaders of Iran’s Islamic Revolution have been fiercely obsessed with securing the country’s sovereignty and security, whether in the terrible war with Saddam Hussein, who was backed by the West as well as many Arab countries, or in creating buffer zones through proxy Shiite movements and regimes across the region.

    “We are not liberals like Allende and Mossadegh, whom the CIA can snuff out,” Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, now Iran’s Supreme Leader, warned during the Iranian hostage crisis in 1979. Iran’s intransigence, at the risk of extreme isolation, stands as a stark warning of how paranoia, pent-up hatred and resentment work themselves out in geopolitical terms.

    Understandably, the immoral hostage-taking by Iranian revolutionaries scarred U.S. Sensibilities already wounded by defeat in Vietnam and economic crisis. It has been America’s strange and perplexing fate to assume the responsibilities of European empires during the age of decolonization.

    Still, many in the country’s political and journalistic elites have been locked far too long in absurd fantasies of regime change, and have shown an obtuseness before the longstanding Iranian demand for an end to humiliation. In fact, a casual let’s-bomb-Iran bellicosity has prevailed among too many Democratic as well as Republican politicians.

    Benefiting from U.S. Bungling in its neighborhood, Iran, meanwhile, has steadily advanced its regional ambitions. National pride and unanimity over the nuclear program has existed since the rule of the Shah. Iran, as I argued here before, will not give up its nuclear program no matter what regime is in power in Tehran. Indeed, the Green Movement leader, Mir Hossein Mousavi, accused the demagogic Mahmoud Ahmadinejad no less of “betraying” Iranian nuclear interests to the West.

    Traveling through Iran last year, while the region imploded, I found that the most bitter and apparently Westernized critics of the regime, and even Islam, are proud Persians, unlikely to be cowed by Israel, Arab despotisms and their Western allies.

    To be sure, there are clear pragmatic reasons why the nuclear deal should be supported. Its primary beneficiary will be an overwhelmingly youthful and well-educated population whose emergence from isolation will help release a nation of great potential from its Cold War prison of fear and bitterness. Its motley enemies consist of people who need to be jolted awake from their time warp: Sunni theocrats and settler-colonialists in the Middle East, Strangelovian fantasists in the Beltway, and ageing revolutionaries in Tehran, who have subsisted, like their doddery Cuban counterparts, on embargos and sanctions.

    But the most compelling reason is still provided by the logic of modern history: the ever-growing demand for dignity and equality, which can turn vengeful if suppressed or ignored.

    President Barack Obama seems to recognize its malign potential when he says that the U.S. cannot order Iran to dismantle its nuclear program: “That’s not how the world works. And that’s not what history shows us.”

    The long negotiations with Iran may have seemed a tortuous way of reaching this stunningly obvious conclusion. Bizarrely, it now has to be explained to some Rip Van Winkles. But to deny the obvious this time is to risk a calamitous war in the Middle East.

  4. Nasser says:

    Good article, showcasing the American way of war and what awaits Iran if it fails to go nuclear

  5. Rehmat says:

    Iran is ‘Winner’ in America’s proxy wars for Israel

  6. Kathleen says:

    Tom the host sure interrupted Marandi when he started talking about the U.S. supporting Saddam during Iraq/Iran war. How the U.S. supplied Saddam with chemical weapons. Tom quickly interrupted and said something like people are well aware of that. What hogwash on Tom’s part. He knows people are not well aware of that

    What are the reasons for 70% of the Iranian population being under 30. How many young Iranian men died in the Iran/Iraq war? How many Iranians died in that war? Google..I k now

  7. kooshy says:

    For Iran, respect is the death knell of colonialism
    A successful deal could mark beginning of new historic era for the Middle East
    April 14, 2015 2:00AM ET
    by Rami G. Khouri

    “Negotiations, if they could achieve the desired goals, became a more attractive option. By successfully modifying Western negotiating goals, Iran also managed to achieve the mutual respect that represents a major step toward ending the West’s colonial and imperial behavior against it.

    If the negotiations reach a fruitful conclusion by June, Iran will enjoy significantly enhanced regional status as the country that forced the world’s powers to a negotiated settlement that also affirmed the international rule of law on permissible enrichment for peaceful purposes. For the rest of us in the Arab world, this should be a rare lesson in how to develop our own capabilities and self-respect, in order to force others to respect us, on the now slightly less elusive path to the end of colonialism.”

  8. Rehmat says:

    On March 25, 2015, Sudanese president Omar al-Bashir met the new Saudi dictator, King Salman bin Abdul-Aziz in Riyadh. The crypto-Jew ‘royal’ offered Bashir $4 billion in aid for joining the US-Israel-Saudi war against Shia Houthis in Yemen. Bashir couldn’t refuse the offer after suffering under the US-imposed sanction since 1997.

    One couldn’t blame Bashir for selling his soul to the Devil. Netanyahu, too, has accepted a $16 billion bribe for the US Jewish Lobby’s support for the Saudi regime against Iranian influence.

  9. Castellio says:

    OT: re: Pakistan’s refusal to send troops to Yemen:

    “A few comments on PB’s wide-ranging post:

    Security policy, especially covering external security, is firmly in the hands of the Pakistan army (not military). The main foreign power that Pakistan depends on for its external security is China. The Chinese indicated they do not want Pakistan to get involved in Yemen and spoil their plans for establishing the economic land corridor that PB has mentioned. That was decisive in determining Pakistan’s stance.

    The leaders of the ruling political party, the Muslim League, and of the main opposition, the People’s Party, are thoroughly corrupt, and would ‘sell’ Pakistan to the Saudis and the GCC without hesitation. However, public opinion was strongly against getting involved in Yemen.

    The “shield of Sunni Islam” stuff that PB refers to is mostly political and media rhetoric, and plays little or no role in determining policy.

    No one who matters in Pakistan is concerned about (or believes in) an “Iranian nuclear bomb”. This is mainly a fantasy of the US, encouraged by Israel and the Saudis.

    My guess is that the Saudi military campaign against Yemen was sponsored by the King’s son, Prince Salman, to bolster his prospects in the succession stakes. As Patrick says, its failure would deal a serious blow to his chances. Thus one can foresee its prolongation beyond any worthwhile limits.”

  10. Kooshy says:

    Sorry to say this but it’s unimaginable that what an asshole this guy is, a truly real asshole in every aspect one can ever imagine

    Obama Urges Gulf Nations To Help With Chaos In Libya
    Huffington Post
    WASHINGTON, April 17 (Reuters) – President Barack Obama on Friday urged Gulf nations to help calm the chaotic political situation in Libya, saying that outside military action would not be enough to help reduce

  11. Kooshy says:

    Here is another asshole entity / organization with a pure American inspired exceptionalist mentality , unfortunately this exceptional mentality ( you read asshole mentality) is not only unique to American majority populous or American head of state(s) and statesmen, it also is and has become part of every organization they lead or control including UN which at least in name is suppose to be a collective conscious of the globe. At least me like to know how UN decides to forgo a historic Egyptian figurine name because of and for an English acronym for a full name of a terrorist organization.

    ‘Isis’ Removed From UN List of Hurricane Names

    It was replaced with Ivette
    Don’t expect Hurricane Isis to hit anytime soon.

    Here is another asshole entity / organization with a pure American inspired exceptionalist mentality , unfortunately this exceptional mentality ( you read asshole mentality) is not only unique to American majority populous or American head of state(s) and statesmen, it also is and has become part of every organization they lead or control including UN which at least in name is suppose to be a collective conscious of the globe. At least me like to know how UN decides to forgo a historic Egyptian figurine name because of and for an English acronym for a full name of a terrorist organization.

    Sorry to say this but it’s unimaginable that what an asshole this guy is, a truly real asshole in every aspect one can ever imagine

    ‘Isis’ Removed From UN List of Hurricane Names

    It was replaced with Ivette
    Don’t expect Hurricane Isis to hit anytime soon.

  12. Dan Cooper says:

    Did Money Seal Israeli-Saudi Alliance?

    Interesting article

    The odd-couple relationship between Saudi Arabia and Israel may have been sealed with more than a mutual desire to kiss-off Iran. According to an intelligence source, there was a dowry involved, too, with the Saudis reportedly giving Israel some $16 billion, writes Robert Parry.

    As Congress now moves to sabotage the Iranian nuclear agreement, the Saudis could be finding that whatever money they invested in Israel is money well spent.

    The Saudis seem especially alarmed that the nuclear agreement would prompt the world community to lift sanctions on Iran, thus allowing its economy – and its influence – to grow.

  13. James Canning says:


    Do you have suggestions for how to help resolve the chaotic situation in Libya?

  14. fyi says:

    James Canning says:

    April 18, 2015 at 1:19 pm

    The chaotic situation in Libya cannot be resolved.

    Like Afghanistan after the destruction of the late Dr. Najibollha’s government, we are looking to a prolonged period of civil war.

    2 or 3 years from now, when the Libyans are tired of the war, they might be amenable to the initiation of peace process under the auspices of the African Union, or the Arab League, or the Organization of Islamic Conference.

    But even for that, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, South Africa, and Algeria would be needed.

  15. James Canning says:


    Kooshy said he was unhappy that Obama was trying to do something to resolve the chaotic situation in Libya. I think Kooshy should give us his policy recommendations.

  16. Pragmatic says:

    Well, very easy, make Lybia into two countries and let the French and Italian act as a watchdog over them. Ostensibly, it’s not a united country now! It’ll happen sooner or later, the same with Yemen. It’s the best solution at this time.

  17. kooshy says:


    Now that you asked, my recommendation is to keep a power drunken hegemonic criminal and illegal bully power and her/ his equally drunken European butler hyena companions kept out of the pottery barn till the Libyan, afghan and Iraqi and many others can get compensated for their broken states by this band of hyenas and jail the criminals in a worldly worthily court. I suspect and hope I am not alone with such recommendation. You can and you even may join, when you decide to be honest with yourself.

  18. Jay says:

    kooshy says:
    April 19, 2015 at 3:35 pm

    To add to Kooshy’s suggestion, the premise of your statement is highly dubious Mr. Canning. Mr. Obama has no intention of desire to “resolve the chaotic situation”.

  19. Pragmatic says:

    Jay says:
    April 19, 2015 at 4:15 pm

    I agree with you, and as I allused in my previous post, Yemen will be divided into two countries. Then is either Syria or iraq, the last is Libya. In regards to Yemen if not seperated, then there I should the possibility of Saudi’so annexing it. Direct access to Arabian sea.

  20. Pragmatic says:

    Sorry for the error: alluded,,,,,,then there is the possibility,,,,,

  21. Fiorangela says:

    Prof. Dan Joyner’s assessment and recommendation about NPT:

    a. NPT has been a failure: NWS do what they want to do and, over 45 years, have not kept their part of the pact; signatory NNWS states comply but do not get benefits promised unless NWS see “political and/or economic reasons” — not Treaty guarantees — to grant them.

    b. Therefore, NAM states should reject NPT en masse.

  22. Fiorangela says:

    Surely Samantha Power has some splendid R2P suggestions to resolve the Libyan chaos.

    A consult with Bernard-Henri Levi might also be in order; he has applied the fulness of his philosopher’s art to the situation of Libya.

    Whatever you do, do NOT ask Sergei “I told you so” Lavrov for recommendations.

  23. James Canning says:


    Bernard-Henri Levy can claim much of the credit for creating the disaster in Libya.

  24. James Canning says:


    Your apparent contention Obama favors chaos in Libya is nonsense.

  25. James Canning says:


    Your policy recommendation for Libya was ???

  26. Karl.. says:


    Sure but not more claim than UK for example that was part of the bombing of Libya.

  27. kooshy says:

    James Canning says:
    April 20, 2015 at 1:13 pm


    Your policy recommendation for Libya was ???’

    Now that you must, in a simple format very understandable to English gentlemen my recommendation with “around elephant square” accent is to “keep the fack out of it Gav.”

  28. Jay says:


    you are so full of yourself that you do not realize how silly it is to claim your nonsense!

    I do not need to go back the 500 or so treaties with the American Indians or the treat of the Guadalupe to make my point. Just in the recent past, the last three countries that the US wanted to have “good relations” with and to “help develop” (calm the chaos) ended up with thousands of dead bodies!

    In 2008, Mrs. Rice, then the secretary of state travelled to Libya and offered to Mr. Gaddafi the promise of American stabilization, economic development, etc. etc. etc. A mere six months later Americans were asking for Bombing Libya and another six months after that they were actually bombing Libya under R2P!

    You can sell you nonsense elsewhere but not here!

    Brits may have raised colonization to an art form, but nowadays they are being colonized themselves because students of British colonization leaned well at the feet of the master.

    Don’t try to sell your nonsense here! No one buys it!

  29. Amir says:

    I had a good laugh, and it made me wonder to what lengths Mr Goldman would go? See link:

    Not related to the debate, at all.

  30. Amir says:

    One problems with the arguments of Mr Bhadakumar is that MoFA Zarif mentions “wider Persian Gulf region” four times, but refrains from using the “wider Middle East/ West Asia”; even when he is talking (writing) about ‘on a broader level’ in the last paragraphs, he is moving from Yemen to the wider Persian Gulf region.
    So… No recognition of Israel (which includes a Jewish state of Israel, as well).

  31. Amir says:

    And just one more point! I almost instantly became aware of my naivete; it depends upon your definition of “wider Persian Gulf region”, which it seems to include Yemen, as well as [P]GCC, Iran and Iraq.
    I suppose reading another piece on the same subject by Mr Zarif would be worth the time, see link:

  32. Amir says:

    I remembered I had promised not to make comments about geopolitics, international relations and such (since I don’t know anything about them, and I don’t work in the veterinary field);
    But, does anyone know who first suggested Iran should forego reprocessing of spent fuel?
    Turns out Plutonium has civilian applications, too.
    Although, some of you could argue that the whole purpose of nuclear program was to be used as a “card”, to obtain a measure of recognition from the West, lifting sanctions, or whatever. I sense all of you represent various interest groups; I, on the other hand, am a simpleton, who feels he was deceived, and deceived big time.

  33. thecelticwithinme says:

    They had a discussion about the Iran Nuclear Agreement on C-Span, hosted by the Peace Institute in Washington D.C. (oxymoron?) chaired by Stephen Hadley, and including two former congressmen (both D), Dr. Mousavi of Iran (now teaching in Va. Tech) and a former Bush NSC staffer.

    Sad but interesting discussion. As usual the best part comes during Q&A starting at about 1 hour mark. Just a couple things:

    It was stated:


    I don’t recall that Ahmadinejad withdrew from any such agreement.

    Then came the issue that I feel the US and its major support groups really fear:




    Interesting spin. No mention of accommodation with Iran’s inevitable growing influence.

    Then panel was asked:


    The first response used the analogy from WWII of US and USSR cooperation to make the following point:


    That sums up nicely the historical double standard when it comes to U.S. foreign policy and outlook.

    The second reply states:




    Finally this from the third response:


    Oh how I love how these think-tank types think.

  34. James Canning says:


    I strongly opposed western military intervention in Libya because I thought the result would be many years of chaos.

    But you clearly have no policy recommendations to make, regarding what measures (if any) could be considered.

  35. James Canning says:


    The disaster in Libya owes much to mistakes made by Nicolas Sarkozy of France. Who was aggressively pushed by his good friend, Bernard-Henri Levy.

    You seem to lack an understanding of how the western military intervention in Libya came about.

  36. Karl.. says:


    Could you for once criticize Cameron and Hague’s bombing of Libya like you just criticized France?

    “France, Britain want NATO to fight harder against Gaddafi’s forces”

  37. kooshy says:

    Actually David Cameron (you read another Western European US puppet A hole) was one of the very first to land in Libya celebrating perceived NATO’ victory after the fall of Gadhafi I remember seeing a photo of him and his French counterpart A Hole Nicolas Sarkozy arriving in Libya right after the fall of Gadhafi

    Gav here it is your real A hole her majesties PM in Lybia with who else arm in arm with Bernard Henri Levi and the A hole presidante of France

    Here is the caption from the guardian you can take this as the policy recommendation you are asking for

    David Cameron and Nicolas Sarkozy flew into Libya on Thursday and warned Syria and other regimes across the Middle East and North Africa that “the Arab spring could become an Arab summer”.

    In a measure of how quickly order has been restored in Tripoli, the prime minister and the French president touched down in the capital less than a month after Muammar Gaddafi was toppled amid heavy fighting.”

    frame it and hang it above your computer

  38. Jay says:

    Karl.. says:
    April 21, 2015 at 2:12 pm
    kooshy says:
    April 21, 2015 at 3:23 pm

    Kooshy and Karl,

    James knows! The poodle show starting Cameron and Sarkozy at the behest of poodle master Cheney!!

    Now, to give credit where it is due, James does not tip his cards! He knows that the demise was planned all along, but he keeps that stiff upper lip!! He is not like the generals in the US or UK who openly boast about how they waited patiently to “bottle up” Saddam, or “bottle up” Gaddafi!

  39. Kooshy says:

    “Saudis Announce Halt to Yemen Bombing Campaign”
    New York Times

    “Saudi Arabia said on Tuesday that it was halting a nearly month-old bombing campaign aimed”

    Gav here are your other regional client A holes, as was predicted those sorties and bombs are way too expensive for killing children and women, way too expensive to afford even for oil oligarch Saudis. I say even with your government’s and U.S.’ Support I bet the Saudi Kingdom will not be around in current format Whiten next five years When KSA goes down the western influence in ME comes to halt. And if that happens there would be no way for US/ West to be able to continue supporting Israel as it exist today, unless they are willing to pay the price of a major w war

  40. Rehmat says:

    fyi – Your Dr. Cordesman is twin brother of Dr. Pipes – and his CSIS is mild version of ADL.

    On March 8, 2012 – Washington-based Zioncon think tank, Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS), issued its latest report on Iran’s rising influence in Iraq. In 1990s, Gen. Ehud Barak, the current Israeli defense minister acted as an adviser to CSIS. The report is authored by Dr. Anthony H. Cordesman, whom his famous fellow Jewish professor Norman Finkelstein had called a ‘War Whore‘. The reoprt is entitled ‘The real Outcome of the Iraq War: US and Iranian strategic Competition in Iraq’.

    The report admits that the US celebrated end of its eight year occupation without achieving its goals (totally draining country’s oil reserves and weakening it as a possible future threat to Israel) fully.

    “Iraq remains a violent and unstable place, with Iranian influence on the rise,” Cordesman begins the report.

  41. Kathleen says:

    Hoping the Leveretts will be putting up something about the U.S. ships headed towards a confrontation with Iranian ships over the Yemen issue. Talk about just what Israel and the I lobby would like to see a ready made military confrontation between the U.S. and Iran. Chris Matthews asked P Obama about this during his interview on Hardball tonight

  42. Rd. says:

    Kooshy says:

    “Saudis Announce Halt to Yemen Bombing Campaign”

    [to add]
    It is peculiar how Erdogan was all up about helping saud in its war of aggression against Yemen, till he visited Iran and had a face about.

    Likewise, FM Zarif was in Pakistan just before the Pakistan parliament voted against involvement in Yemen!!! Is the positive vision and diplomacy of IRI the ‘nuc’ option to neutralize the real threats?

    Perhaps, finally, the ME region is waking up to a positive vision of its own outside of the us/uk/zionist/saudi disease. That ought to be hard to swallow for the likes of canning and the robber Barron oligarchy.

  43. James Canning says:


    Can you provide a single comment from me on this site, to support your contention I back the “robber baron oligarchy”?

  44. James Canning says:


    Obama’s generals wanted to avoid a western military intervention in Libya. Full stop. Your claim to the contrary is rubbish.

  45. James Canning says:


    I STRONGLY OPPOSED western military intervention in Libya. I thought it a hideous blunder.

  46. James Canning says:


    Your claim that Cameron was a stooge of Obama, and that is the reason the UK attacked Libya, is DEAD WRONG.

  47. James Canning says:


    You appear unaware that William Hague OPPOSED British military intervention in Libya.

  48. Karl.. says:


    James said:“You appear unaware that William Hague OPPOSED British military intervention in Libya.”

    Are you a compulsive liar?

    “William Hague Says The UK Will Continue Operations In Libya For As Long As Necessary, called on Khadaffi to go.”

  49. fyi says:

    Karl.. says:

    April 22, 2015 at 2:19 pm

    Thank you for establishing that the man is making factually wrong statements.

  50. Pragmatic says:

    تحليلي از وضعيت دنياي امروز و مسائل پيش امده بين ايران و عربستان :

    1– ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮ ﺍﺯ 40 ﺳﺎﻝ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﻧﻔﺘﯽ ﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺭﻓﺖ. ﺷﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﯾﮑﯽ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﺯﺭﺍﺩﺧﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎﯼ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺸﮑﯿﻞ ﺩﺍﺩ. ﭼﻨﺪ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﺷﺎﻩ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﺑﺎ ﺯﺭﺍﺩﺧﺎﻧﻪﺗﺶ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺑﯿﻮﻥ ﺟﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩ. ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﯾﮏ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺑﻪ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﮐﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺽ 8 ﺳﺎﻝ ﺑﻨﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺫﻋﺎﻥ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﯾﮑﺼﺪ ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺑﻪ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﻣﺎ ﺧﺴﺎﺭﺕ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺑﺴﯿﺎﺭﯼ ﺍﺯ ﺯﯾﺮﺳﺎﺧﺘﻬﺎﯼ ﻣﺎﺭﺍ ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩ كرد. ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﻭﻣﯿﻦ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻧﻔﺘﯽ ﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﺑﻮﺩ. ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺍﻣﻮﺍﻝ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﺑﻠﻮﮐﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ.

    2 – ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ، ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻨﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﯼ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ 30 ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺑﺪﻫﯽ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ. ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ 69 ﯾﻌﻨﯽ ﮐﻤﯽ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﯾﺎﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ،ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻪ ﮐﻮﯾﺖ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﮐﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺷﻐﺎﻝ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ. ﺑﻌﺪﺍً ﺍﺳﻨﺎﺩﯼ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﺷﺪ ﮐﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺤﺮﯾﮏ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺣﺴﯿﻦ ﺑﺮﺍﯼ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﺑﻪ ﮐﻮﯾﺖ ﺑﯽﻧﻘﺶ ﻧﺒﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﮐﻮﯾﺖ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺷﺸﻢ ﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﺑﻮﺩ.

    3 – ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﻃﯽ ﺩﻭ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ، ﻧﻬﺎﯾﺘﺎً ﺯﯾﺮﺳﺎﺧﺖﻫﺎﯼ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩ ﮐﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺣﺴﯿﻦ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺯﯾﺮﮐﺸﯿﺪ ﻭ ﺍﮐﻨﻮﻥ ﮐﺸﻮﺭﯼ ﻭﯾﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﺑﺮﺟﺎﯼ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﮐﺸﺘﻪ. ﻣﯿﻠﯿﻮﻧﻬﺎ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺷﻬﺮﻭﻧﺪﯼ ﮐﻪ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪﯼ ﺁﻭﺍﺭﮔﯽ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ
    ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺍﮐﻨﻮﻥ ﺩﺭﮔﯿﺮ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺪﺗﺮﯾﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺗﺮﻭﺭﯾﺴﻢ ﺩﻧﯿﺎﯼ ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ. ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺳﻮﻣﯿﻦ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﺍﺳﺖ.

    4 – ﺩﺭ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺍﯾﻦ ﻣﺪﺕ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺷﺮﻭﻉ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﺳﺎﺯﯼ ﮐﺮﺩ . ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺭﻩﯼ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﯽ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ ﺫﺧﯿﺮﻩﯼ ﺍﺭﺯﯼ ﮐﻪ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﻣﺎﺯﺩ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺟﻤﻊ ﻣﯽﺷﺪ ﺗﺸﮑﯿﻞ ﺷﺪ. ﺍﯾﻦ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻘﺪﯾﻨﮕﯽ ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩﻫﺎ ﺩﻻﺭ ‏(ﺭﻗﻢ ﺩﻗﯿﻖ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻤﯽﺩﺍﻧﻢ‏) ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﯼﻧﮋﺍﺩ ﺗﺤﻮﯾﻞ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺷﺪ. ﻋﻼﻭﻩ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻥ ﻗﯿﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺭﻓﺖ ﻭ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻃﻮﻝ ﻫﺸﺖ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍﯾﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻭ ﮔﺎﺯ ﻭ ﻣﺎﻟﯿﺎﺕ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ 800 ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺑﺮﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﺷﺪ. ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﯾﺎﻥ ﺍﯾﻦ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ، ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺪﺗﺮﯾﻦ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ ﻭ ﺧﺰﺍﻧﻪﯼ ﺧﺎﻟﯽ ﺗﺤﻮﯾﻞ ﺣﺴﻦ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﯽ ﺷﺪ. ﺩﻭﻣﯿﻦ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﺯﯼ ﻣﺎﺭﭘﻠﻪ ﮔﺰﯾﺪﻩ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻪ ﺟﺪﻭﻝ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﮐﺮﺩ. ﻣﺎ ﺩﺭﮔﯿﺮ ﭘﺮﻭﻧﺪﻩﯼ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﯼ ﺷﺪﯾﻢ. ‏(ﺳﻨﺎﺭﯾﻮﯼ ﺑﺮﺁﻣﺪﻥ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﯼﻧﮋﺍﺩ ﺭﺍ، ﺁﻧﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﮐﻪ ﻣﯽﺍﻧﺪﯾﺸﻢ، ﺷﺎﯾﺪ ﺭﻭﺯﯼ ﻧﻪ ﭼﻨﺪﺍﻥ ﻧﺰﺩﯾﮏ ﺑﻨﻮﯾﺴﻢ‏).

    5 – ﺍﯾﻦﺑﺎﺭ ﻧﻮﺑﺖ ﻟﯿﺒﯽ ﺑﻮﺩ. ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻫﺸﺘﻢ ﺍﻭﭘﮏ. ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ ﻗﺬﺍﻓﯽ ﺩﯾﮑﺘﺎﺗﻮﺭ ﺳﺮﻧﮕﻮﻥ ﺷﺪﻩﯼ ﻟﯿﺒﯽ ﺩﺭ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺩﻭﺭﻩﯼ ﺯﻣﺎﻣﺪﺍﺭﯼﺍﺵ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﻫﻨﮕﻔﺘﯽ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﻭ ﻃﻼ ﺍﻧﺪﻭﺧﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺧﯿﻠﯽ ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮ ﺍﺯ ﯾﮏ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻫﺸﺘﻤﯽ. ﮔﺎﻩ ﺣﺘﯽ ﺩﺭ ﺍﯾﻦ ﺯﻣﯿﻨﻪ ﺍﻓﺴﺎﻧﻪﭘﺮﺩﺍﺯﯼ ﻫﻢ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺍﮔﺮﭼﻪ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﺑﺎﻭﺭﻧﮑﺮﺩﻧﯽ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻋﯿﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺯﯾﺎﺩ ﺍﺳﺖ.
    . ﻟﯿﺒﯽ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﯾﮏ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﯾﯽ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻨﺎﺭﯾﻮﻧﻮﯾﺴﯽ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩ ﺷﺪ. ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻫﻢ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻧﯿﺴﺖ ﺁﻥ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﻫﻨﮕﻔﺖ ﭼﻪ ﺳﺮﺍﻧﺠﺎﻣﯽ ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ .

    6 – ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﮐﺮﺍﯾﻦ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺭﻧﮕﯽ ﻣﺠﺪﺩﺍً ﺷﻌﻠﻪﻭﺭ ﺷﺪ. ﻣﮏ ﮐﯿﻦ ﺳﻨﺎﺗﻮﺭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﯼﺧﻮﺍﻩ ﻭ ﺭﻗﯿﺐ ﭘﯿﺸﯿﻦ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﺭﻓﺖ ﻭ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺭﺍ ﺗﻬﯿﯿﺞ ﮐﺮﺩ. ﺭﻭﺳﯿﻪ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﻗﺪﺭﺗﻤﻨﺪ ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪﮐﻨﻨﺪﻩﯼ ﻧﻔﺖِ ﻏﯿﺮﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﺩﺭﮔﯿﺮ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ﻣﺎﺷﯿﻦ ﺟﻨﮕﯽﺍﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﮐﺮﺍﯾﻦ ﺯﻣﯿﻨﮕﯿﺮ ﮔﺮﺩﯾﺪ ﻭ ﻧﻬﺎﯾﺘﺎً ﻣﺸﻤﻮﻝ ﺗﺤﺮﯾﻢ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﺷﺪ. ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﯿﻦ ﺣﯿﻦ ﻣﺪﯾﺮﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺗﻮﺗﺎﻝ، ﻃﺮﻑ ﺍﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎﻥ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳﯿﻪ ﻭ ﯾﮑﯽ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺰﺭﮔﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﺷﺮﮐﺘﻬﺎﯼ ﻧﻔﺘﯽ ﺩﻧﯿﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﻭﺩﮔﺎﻩ ﻣﺴﮑﻮ ﮐﺸﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ.

    7 – ﺍﮐﻨﻮﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻨﺎﺭﯾﻮﯾﯽ ﺩﻗﯿﻖ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﻭﻗﺖ ﺑﺰﺭﮔﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﻏﻮﻝ ﻧﻔﺘﯽ ﺩﻧﯿﺎ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻋﺰﻡ ﻧﻤﻮﺩﻩ ﺗﺎ ﺍﯾﻦ ﻏﻮﻝ ﻧﻔﺘﯽ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﯼ ﺩﺭﺁﻭﺭﺩ.

    ﺍﺯ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺩﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ ﯾﻤﻦ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ، ﻧﻔﺖ ﺷﻞ ﺍﺳﺖ.
    ﺑﻪ ﺍﯾﻦ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮐﻪ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﮔﺎﺭﯼ ﮐﻪ ﺭﯾﯿﺲﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ ﭘﯿﺸﯿﻦ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﻣﺎ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺩﻭﺩ ﻫﻮﺍ ﮐﺮﺩ ﻣﻠﮏ ﻋﺒﺪﺍﻟﻠﻪ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻩ ﺧﺮﺩﻣﻨﺪ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﯾﺶ ﻗﯿﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻧﺒﺎﺷﺖ. ﭼﺮﺍ ﮐﻪ ﭼﻨﺪﯾﻦ ﻣﻮﺳﺴﻪﯼ ﻗﺪﺭﺗﻤﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻣﻌﺘﺒﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺣﻮﺯﻩﯼ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻧﺮﮊﯼ ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﻪﯼ ﺩﻗﯿﻘﯽ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺧﺘﯿﺎﺭ ﺣﮑﺎﻡ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﮐﻪ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺷﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺯﻭﺩﯼ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺴﺨﯿﺮ ﻣﯽﮐﻨﺪ.
    ﯾﻌﻨﯽ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﯽ ﮐﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻧﺨﺒﮕﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻫﻮﺵﻫﺎ ﺧﺎﻟﯽ ﻣﯽﺷﺪ، ﺑﺰﺭﮔﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﺷﺮﮐﺘﻬﺎﯼ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﺎﺗﯽ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻧﺮﮊﯼ ﺩﻗﯿﻖﺗﺮﯾﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﺎﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻣﯽﻓﺮﻭﺧﺘﻨﺪ.

    ﺷﺎﻩ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺧﺰﺍﻧﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺁﮔﻨﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻭﻗﺘﺶ ﭘﻨﺠﻪ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻨﺠﻪﯼ ﺑﺰﺭﮔﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪﮐﻨﻨﺪﻩﯼ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺷﻞ ﯾﻌﻨﯽ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﺑﯿﻨﺪﺍﺯﺩ. ﺍﮔﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺯﯾﺮ 45 ﺩﻻﺭ ‏(ﯾﺎ ﭼﯿﺰﯼ ﺩﺭ ﺍﯾﻦ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ) ﺑﺮﺳﺪ، ﻧﻔﺖ ﺷﻞ ﻏﯿﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﯼ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﯼ ﻣﺪﺕ ﻧﺴﺒﺘﺎً ﻃﻮﻻﻧﯽ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺍﺭﺯﺍﻥ ﺑﻔﺮﻭﺷﻨﺪ ﺍﯾﻦ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ ﻭﺭﺷﮑﺴﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ.

    ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﯼ ﯾﮏ ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﻧﻘﺪ، ﺑﺮﺍﯼ ﭼﻨﯿﻦ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻣﺒﺎﺩﺍﯾﯽ ﺫﺧﯿﺮﻩ ﮐﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺍﮔﺮ ﺍﯾﻦ ﯾﮏ ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩ ﺑﺸﻮﺩ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﯼ ﺷﺎﻩ ﭘﯿﺸﯿﻦ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺑﺮ ﺁﺏ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺷﻞ ﻧﺠﺎﺕ ﭘﯿﺪﺍ ﻣﯽﮐﻨﺪ.

    ﺟﻨﮓ ﯾﻤﻦ، ﺑﺎﺗﻼﻗﯽ ﺍﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺟﺪﯾﺪ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﺮﯾﮏ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﺁﻥ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺷﺮﻭﻉ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺰﯾﻨﻪﯼ ﺧﺰﺍﻧﻪﯼ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻣﯽﮐﻨﺪ. ﺍﯾﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﮒ ﭘﺎﺷﺎﻩ ﻓﻘﯿﺪ ﺭﺥ ﻣﯽﺩﻫﺪ. ﺩﺭ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻪﺍﯼ ﮐﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﯼ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﯽ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺟﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﺎﭘﺨﺘﻪ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ. ﯾﻤﻦ ﺭﺍ ﻭﯾﺘﻨﺎﻡ ﺩﻧﯿﺎﯼ ﻋﺮﺏ ﻣﯽﻧﺎﻣﻨﺪ.
    ﻣﻊﺍﻟﻮﺻﻒ ﺷﺎﯾﺪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﯾﻤﻦ ﭘﺘﺎﻧﺴﯿﻞ ﺳﻮﺯﺍﻧﺪﻥ ﺍﯾﻦ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻟﺬﺍ ﺑﺎﯾﺪ ﺩﺍﻣﻨﻪﯼ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻭﺳﯿﻌﺘﺮ ﺷﻮﺩ.

    ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﯿﻦ ﺑﺤﺒﻮﺣﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﻣﺎﺟﺮﺍﯼ ﺟﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺧﺒﺮ ﺗﺠﺎﻭﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭ ﻧﻮﺟﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻧﯽ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ. ﺧﺒﺮﯼ ﮐﻪ ﺗﺎﺑﺤﺎﻝ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵﻫﺎﯼ ﺿﺪ ﻭ ﻧﻘﯿﻀﯽ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﻇﺎﻫﺮﺍً ﺍﯾﻦ ﺍﺗﻔﺎﻕ ﺩﺭ ﺍﯾﺎﻡ ﻋﯿﺪ ﺭﺥ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ.
    ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎﯾﯽ ﮐﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺕ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻪﯼ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺳﺮﮔﺮﻡ ﻣﺬﺍﮐﺮﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻟﻮﺯﺍﻥ ﺑﻮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﯾﺎ ﺣﺘﯽ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻋﯿﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻣﮑﺘﻮﻡ ﻧﮕﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺘﺸﺎﺭ ﺗﻔﺎﻫﻢﻧﺎﻣﻪﯼ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﯼ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ.

    ﺍﯾﻦ ﺍﺗﻔﺎﻕ ﻭﺍﺟﺪ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻭﯾﮋﮔﯽ ﺗﺤﺮﯾﮏﺁﻣﯿﺰ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺩﻭﮔﺎﻧﻪﯼ ﺷﯿﻌﻪ – ﺳﻨﯽ، ﺩﻭﮔﺎﻧﻪﯼ ﻋﺮﺑﯽ – ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻧﯽ، ﻭﻗﻮﻉ ﺗﺠﺎﻭﺯ ﺟﻨﺴﯽ ﺩﺭ ﯾﮏ ﺳﻔﺮ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﯽ، ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻮﻋﯽ ﺍﻧﺤﺮﺍﻑ ﺟﻨﺴﯽ، ﮐﻪ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﯾﻨﻬﺎ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪﯼ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﻣﻠﺘﻬﺐ ﻣﯽﮐﻨﺪ. ﺍﯾﻦ ﺧﺒﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﻋﺖ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ ﭘﯿﺪﺍ ﻣﯽﮐﻨﺪ. ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩﯼ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻮﺍﭘﯿﻤﺎﯼ ﺯﺍﺋﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻧﯽ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﻧﻤﯽﺷﻮﺩ .
    ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﺯ ﺍﯾﻨﻬﺎ ﺁﯾﻪﺍﻟﻠﻪ ﺟﻨﺘﯽ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ ﺟﻤﻌﻪﯼ ﮐﻬﻨﺴﺎﻝ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺒﺮﯾﮏ ﻣﺮﮒ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻩ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺟﺮﻗﻪﯼ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺭﺍ ﺯﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺤﺮﯾﮏ ﮐﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ .
    ﺁﯾﻪﺍﻟﻠﻪ ﺟﻨﺘﯽ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﮐﺴﯽ ﺍﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﯿﻦ ﺗﺮﯾﺒﻮﻥ ﻣﺪﺍﻓﻊ ﺩﺭﺟﻪ ﺍﻭﻝ ﻣﺤﻤﻮﺩ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﯼﻧﮋﺍﺩ‏( ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﺑﻨﺪ 4 ﺍﯾﻦ ﻧﻮﺷﺘﻪ) ﺑﻮﺩ. ﻫﻢ ﺍﮐﻨﻮﻥ ﺭﺳﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎﯼ ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍﯾﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺧﯽ ﺗﺮﯾﺒﻮﻥﻫﺎﯼ ﻧﻤﺎﺯﺟﻤﻌﻪ ﻫﯿﺰﻡﺑﯿﺎﺭ ﺍﯾﻦ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻪﯼ ﻣﺸﮑﻮﮎ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻭﺩﺭ ﺻﻔﺤﺎﺕ ﻣﺠﺎﺯﯼ ﻣﻮﺝﻫﺎﯼ ﺿﺪ ﻋﺮﺏ ﻭ ﺿﺪ ﺣﺞ ﻭ ﻏﯿﺮﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺗﺼﺎﻋﺪﯼ ﺩﺍﻣﻦ ﺯﺩﻩ ﻣﯽﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﺴﯿﺎﺭﯼ، ﺑﺴﺎﻥ ﺭﻭﺯﮔﺎﺭﻫﺎﯾﯽ ﮐﻪ ﺟﻨﮕﻬﺎﯼ ﺣﯿﺪﺭﯼ- ﻧﻌﻤﺘﯽ ﺭﻭﺍﺝ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﺩﺭﮔﯿﺮﻭﺩﺍﺭ ﺍﯾﻦ ﺗﻮﻃﺌﻪ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ .

    ﺩﺭ ﺍﯾﻦ ﭘﺮﻭﮊﻩ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺍﺻﻠﯽ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﻫﺰﺍﺭﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭﯼ ﻧﻘﺪ ﺁﻥ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﺳﻮﺧﺘﻪ ﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺷﻞ ﻧﺠﺎﺕ ﭘﯿﺪﺍ ﮐﻨﺪ. ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮﺭ ﮐﻪ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﻭﺑﻘﯿﻪ ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩ ﺷﺪ . ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﮐﺴﺎﻧﯽ ﮐﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺛﺮﻭﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﯾﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩ ﮐﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﺍﻻﻥ ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺧﻂ ﻣﻘﺪﻡ ﻣﺒﺎﺭﺯﻩ ﺑﺎ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﻣﺎ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ. ﺍﯾﻨﻬﺎ ﺳﺮﻧﺦﻫﺎﯼ ﻣﻬﻤﯽ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ. ﺍﯾﻨﻬﺎ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﮐﺴﺎﻧﯽ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﮐﻪ ﻫﺎﺷﻤﯽ ﺭﻓﺴﻨﺠﺎﻧﯽ ﺩﻭﺳﺖ ﻣﻠﮏ ﻋﺒﺪﺍﻟﻠﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﯼ ﺳﺎﻟﻬﺎ ﺑﺎﯾﮑﻮﺕ ﻧﻤﻮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ.

    ﺍﯾﻦ ﯾﮏ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻧﻔﺘﯽ ﺍﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﯼ ﺁﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﺷﮑﻞ ﻣﻤﮑﻦ ﻃﺮﺍﺣﯽ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺗﺎ ﮐﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﯼ ﻧﻔﺖﺧﯿﺰ ﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﻭ ﻏﯿﺮﺍﻭﭘﮏ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺯﻣﯿﻦ ﺑﺰﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﯼ ﻫﻤﯿﺸﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺷﺮ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺧﻼﺹ ﻧﻤﺎﯾﺪ.
    ﻣﺎ ﺍﺑﻠﻬﺎﻧﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺑﺎﺯﯼﺧﻮﺭﺩﻥ ﻫﺴﺘﯿﻢ.

  51. Jay says:


    facts are pesky things – no matter how much you try to twist yourself – facts stay around!

    Of course France and UK were the face of the war against Libya, but the US provided all the tools. Moreover, this report does not address the billions spent on fomenting revolution in Libya.

    As I said before, take this some place else! People here are intelligent and won’t be swayed by your constant obfuscation!!

  52. Irshad says:

    Fyi – welcome back! – what do you make of how thibgs are proceeding in the region – we had President Xi of China in Pakistan promishing over $30b investment – which may include the Iran-Pakistan gasline going to China, the Saudis dream of a land invasion with Egyptian and Pak cannonfodder failing to materialise leaving the Bedouins to keep on bombing from the air, Isis threathening Damascus etc.?

  53. Irshad says:

    Pragmatic – any English translation?

  54. Kooshy says:

    James Canning says:
    April 22, 2015 at 1:22 pm

    “Your claim that Cameron was a stooge of Obama”

    Gav I am not only saying that but a little more and deeper down fact that your country is a client state of US meaning that your foreign policy must be coordinated to serve the interests of US before it can serve the UK interests and not necessarily these interests all the time coincide . Like exactly in the cases of Ukraine, Libya, Syria and Iran

    At the end of the day that’s your problem and not mine, but like Jay says, you can’t keep your face healthy “red” looking by constantly slapping your self in the face, soon tears will start coming down from the self inflicted pain.

    Accept you have a foreign purchased puppet A hole in No. 10 and move on.

  55. fyi says:

    Irshad says:

    April 22, 2015 at 4:55 pm

    I am hopeful that the present positive trends continue in Pakistan – with China – as well as nuclear settlement with Iran.

    I think certainly Pakistan that has 60 million people living on $ one dollar a day or less needs to get back on track of development – something her leaders had lost sight of during the last 35 years.

    And I hope Iranians can sell their gas to Pakistan so that her blackouts that so much prevent her economic development can be alleviated.

    I am generally pleased with the beginnings of peace efforts in Yemen as well.

    We still are a long way from Peace in the Levant and in Libya and in Somalia – but we have to build one what we have.

  56. fyi says:

    Irshad says:

    April 22, 2015 at 4:55 pm

    A poorly reasoned piece that attributes supreme Machiavellian capabilities to US in carrying out a long-term plan to “hit the oil producers to the ground” – beat them into dust (I think in common American parlance) and be rid of them.

    Silly, really.

  57. kooshy says:

    Gav this is what I told you yesterday ( air campaign and sorties are too expensive for just killing women and children and destroying cooking oil even for easy rich Saudis) this was obvious from day one of the KSA military air campaign against Yemen at some point cost benefit will kick in, I wonder what motivated US to let them go along with this stupid campaign and at the same time to hold back her other clients Turkey, Pakistan, Egypt as well as Israel to make any meaningful help in this Saudi initiative, is it, that the US and Iran have settled on regional issues and Iran is to take the lead including the Israel Palestinian case? I suspect weeks and months can’t be all about IR1 and how many could be? But it’s interesting how western MSM is making Saudis like a bunch of Rich out of this planet idiots that they are. I am feeling sorry for the Yemenis living next to bunch of easy made money idiots. never less PM Zarif is laughing all the way to NYC. Needless all the way to NYC he is probably thinking can anyone believe what kind of idiots we have to deal with in our neighborhood?

    “Yemen “… we turn now to our chief foreign affairs correspondent, Margaret Warner.

    Margaret, what was behind Saudi Arabia’s decision to suspend whatever it is they were doing, their military action?

    MARGARET WARNER: Gwen, U.S. officials believe that it was basically a cost-benefit analysis by the Saudis, that in fact the costs were outweighing the benefits.

    That is, this has been going on a month. They have been heavily criticized internationally for a lot of civilian deaths. They have not achieved two of their three main objectives, which was to roll the Houthis back north. That didn’t work and to restore the President Hadi to power, which they have not been able to do, and that that was going to require a ground campaign, which they don’t have the assets to do despite what they spend on military hardware, and no one was willing to help them, including the Pakistanis.”

  58. kooshy says:

    If what I suspect US did with the case of Saudi attacking Yemen and then not helping them in any meaningful way is correct, then I would think US is really trying to discredit, dispose and finding a compromised replacement before it becomes too late and a tossup in the air planning, like the case of Iran and the shah.

  59. Pragmatic says:

    Irshad here you go:
    An analysis of the situation and what has happened today between Iran and Saudi Arabia:
    1. OPEC oil revenues climbed more than 40 years ago. Shah of Iran had one of the world’s largest arsenals. A few years later King was overthrown by young revolutionaries. Then Iraq invaded Iran. By Untied Nations figures, Iraq’s damages to Iran was over $100 billion and it ruined Iran’s infrastructure. Iran was OPEC’s 2nd largest oil power. Before the war all of Iranian assets in the US was blocked.

    2 – Iraqis accumulated over $ 30 billion of debt in that war. Shortly after the end of the 8 year war with Iran, Iraq invaded and occupied Kuwait. The documents were released later that America is said to provoke Saddam Hussein to invade Kuwait. Kuwait was the 6th power of OPEC.

    3 – America during their two wars with Iraq, eventually destroyed the infrastructure of Iraq, toppled Saddam Hussein and left the country in ruins, with hundreds of thousands dead. Millions of citizens who are experiencing homelessness. And now they are involved against the worst kind of terrorism in the contemporary world. Iraq was the 3rd power of OPEC.

    4 – During this period, Iran began to recover. During Khatami’s, a fund was formed to accumulate the oil reserve surplus. The fund with billions of dollars in cash (do not know the exact figure) was delivered to the Ahmadinejad government. In addition, oil prices climbed and government revenues from oil and gas during the eight years of conservative government was estimated at $ 800 billion. When Ahmadinejad left, he gave the new government, a country with the worst economy, and an emptied treasury was delivered to Rohani. The second power of OPEC was bitten by the snake for the second time! Iran dropped to the bottom of the list of OPEC powers. Got involved with the nuclear issue. (Ahmadinejad’s rise to power and its scenario should be talked thoroughly).

    5 – This time it was Libya’s turn. 8th power of OPEC. The overthrow of the Libyan dictator Gaddafi, who believed have had enormous wealth in dollar and gold reserves, much more than an eighth-grade power of OPEC. It’s like a myth. Although the figures are incredible, but at the same time is high. Libya was destroyed by a coalition of European with US script. It is still not clear what has happened to that enormous wealth of Ghadafi. Does anyone know?

    6 – Color Revolution in Ukraine flared up again. Republican Senator John McCain and former rival of Obama went to Ukraine and encourage people to revolt. Non-OPEC oil producer, Russia’s powerful war machine got into a war with Ukraine and was imposed by US and Europe crippled sanctions. Meanwhile, CEO of Total one of the largest oil companies in the world, the confidant of Iran and Russia was killed in Moscow airport.

    7 – Now US with a subtle plan is after the largest oil giant, Saudi Arabia. They are determined to bring the giant down.
    I think the story of the war between Yemen and Saudi Arabia is really about the Shale Oil! At the time that the former Iranian president (Ahmadinejad) was burning hundreds of billions of dollars into the air, the late King of Saudi accumulated over $100 billions in revenues from the rise in oil prices! Just because several powerful and prestigious institutions in the field of energy economics were hired, with accurate calculation had informed the late King that Shale Oil will soon conquer the market. In Iran, the government was getting rid of the elite intelligences, and many of them were leaving the country.

    The Saudi king’s treasury was increased in order to fight the largest Shale oil producer, United States of America. If oil prices get below $ 45 (or something around that) it would be uneconomical to produce Shell Oil, and if the market for a relatively long time sells cheap oil it eventually will bankrupt the Shale Oil industry.

    It is said that Saudi Arabia has stored over $1000 trillion of wealth in cash, for such a day. If this money is destroyed then all of former King programs in regards to Shale oil is evaporated and Shale oil is saved.

    The war in Yemen is a quagmire, which the new Saudi rulers have entered by US provocation. Subsequently, KSA has to spend that money stored in reserve. This conflict occurs just after the death of the late king. Iranian authorities believe some immature young Saudi rulers have chosen this route, and Yemen is going to be Saudi’s Vietnam.

    Nonetheless, Yemen war may not have the potential to burn all those cash, thus it should get into a war with a wider scope.

    Right in the middle of this conflict, the rape of two young Iranian in Jeddah is released. Conflicting news reports have been published thus far. Apparently this has occurred during Eid Norooz. Just in the days when the Iranian Foreign Ministry officials were talking in Lausanne or even a few days before this. But it has been kept hidden and released after the release of nuclear Protocol.

    This event possesses several provocative features. Based on two genuflections of Shia – Sunni, Arabic – Persian, of sexual assault on a religious trip, along with a sexual deviation, the total of which Iran is severely inflamed. The news spreads quickly. Iranian pilgrims are not allowed on the plane to land in Jeddah. Now it has stopped officially by Iranian Gov.

    Ayatollah Jannati, the Friday Imam of Tehran sparked the first by congratulating the death of King, and stimulated the Saudi’s. Ayatollah Jannati, the one who was an avid defender of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad during his tenure.

    Some conservative media and other forums have already been suspected in instigating the incident by using the web for anti-Arab and anti-Hajj, etc., and have exacerbated exponentially, and many, like the hydra – wars have been pushed into this conspiracy.

    The main objective of this project is the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the wealth of its trillion-dollar cash. By burning it, they’ll save the Shale Oil. As hundreds of billions of dollars of Iranian wealth and others were destroyed in the past. The same people who destroyed the wealth in Iran are now at the forefront of the struggle Iran has with Saudi Arabia. These are important clues. These are the ones who have boycotted King Abdullah’s good friend Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani for years.

    This is an oil war designed by US to undermine the OPEC and Non-OPEC oil countries to get rid of them for good. We are stupidly being deceived..

  60. James Canning says:


    You appear to have difficulty grasping the fact Cameron got Obama to intervene in Libya.

  61. James Canning says:


    Britain and France could not have brought about the overthrow of Gaddafi without heavy US support. Who argues to the contrary?

    That said, France and Britain wanted to attack Libya while Obama and his generals preferred not to do so.

  62. James Canning says:

    Karl, fyi,

    William Hague WAS ATTACKED for his reluctance to back a military intervention in Libya by France and the UK.

    Once the decision to intervene had been made, then of course Hague was not trying to undermine the effort, etc etc etc etc.

    You confuse actions taken after the intervention decision was made, with policy preference of Hague before that decision was made.

  63. Karl.. says:


    James said “You confuse actions taken after the intervention decision was made, with policy preference of Hague before that decision was made.

    Really? Lets see:

    1. On the 3rd of March William Hague said:
    “The UK is “absolutely in line” with the US in preparing plans for a possible “no-fly zone” to be imposed over Libya, William Hague has said.”

    When did UK along with NATO intervene?
    “On 19 March 2011, a multi-state coalition began a military intervention in Libya to..”

    So once again you try to lie about Hague didnt want to go to war and second that this approval was made after the intervention had begun.

  64. Nasser says:

    I didn’t realize Graham Fuller had a blog. I stumbled onto it following his articles on Yemem that appeared on Asia Times and Lobelog. He is a very good and very honest analyst.

  65. fyi says:

    James Canning says:

    April 23, 2015 at 2:01 pm

    One could apply your argument and thus conclude that men such as the late Rudolf Hess ought not have been tried, much less imprisoned; for they saluted the flag and obeyed orders.

  66. Rd. says:

    fyi says:

    “One could apply your argument and thus conclude that men such as the late Rudolf Hess ought not have been tried,”

    Sorry fyi, you can’t make that argument!!!!

    Hess was not a britishhh robber barron. such rules only apply to the us/uk/zionist cabal, atlease according to the cunning robber barrons.

  67. James Canning says:


    The simple fact is that William Hague opposed western military intervention in Libya. (Prior to the taking of the decision by the UK to attack.)

  68. James Canning says:



    You clearly fail to comprehend the timeline.

    William Hague was ATTACKED for his failure to back military intervention in Libya by the UK (and France).

  69. James Canning says:


    The decision by the UK to attack Libya was obviously made before the UK attacked Libya. And prior to the taking of that decision, William Hague OPPOSED it.